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TANC Presents AI: Risk and Risk Control

Sponsored by the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries

Tuesday 24th May 2016, 18:00 - 21:00
Room 2003, Cass Business School
106 Bunhill Row

 Booking for this event is now closed


Artificial Intelligence (AI) is one of the least understood global risks. While there is considerable uncertainty associated with AI, there are reasons to suspect that an AI with human-comparable skills could be a major risk factor. How do we assess the potential risk and develop policy and regulatory frameworks to guide future development?

Before assessing the risk, we need to investigate the likelihood and even the possibility of dangerous AI. What probabilistic and conceptual tools can we use here? What are the opinions of experts on the subject? Is expert opinion likely to be valid? Can we use argument and philosophical tools to at least get some sorts of bounds on the subject?

The talk will show that though short term AI is susceptible to estimation using various tools, long term AI is extremely uncertain - but this uncertainty is worrying, rather than reassuring. Despite the uncertainty, assessing and reducing the risk to some significant degree is possible.


18:00 - 18:30 Registration
18:30 - 20:00 Presentation and Q&A 
20:00 - 21:00 Networking and refreshments 

About the Speaker - Dr Stuart Armstrong

Stuart Armstrong's D.Phil was in parabolic geometry, calculating the holonomy of projective and conformal Cartan geometries. He later transitioned into computational biochemistry, designing several new ways to rapidly compare putative bioactive molecules for virtual screening of medicinal compounds. His current research at the Future of Humanity Institute centres on formal decision theory, general existential risk, the risks and possibilities of Artificial Intelligence (AI), assessing expertise and predictions, and anthropic (self-locating) probability. He has been working on several methods of analysing the likelihood of certain outcomes and in making decisions under the resulting uncertainty, as well as specific measures for reducing AI risk. His booklet "Smarter than Us: the rise of machine intelligence" lays out some the challenges in this area, and why it's an important focus.

About TANC - The Actuarial Network at Cass

TANC is a special interest group that organises events for Actuarial Alumni and friends of Cass Business School and City University. We offer unique and interesting events in slightly wider fields than actuarial professional may typically have access to through their work. This is a unique opportunity for you to be involved in a community for those interested in continuing professional and personal development amongst like-minded professionals, alumni and friends and to have some fun too!  


Sponsored by the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries